Australia will suffer the biggest budget deficit since the Second World War as the coronavirus brings the economy to its knees.
Treasurer Josh Frydenberg is tipped to reveal a deficit of between $190 billion and $240 billion this financial year in a special budget update on Thursday.
Gross government debt is expected to come in at a massive $850 billion.
Mr Frydenberg says the government has delivered $164 billion in direct financial support to help the country through the economic downturn.
“Our announced measures, together with large declines in taxation receipts, has seen a hit to the bottom line,” he said.
“But this has been necessary in order to cushions the blow for millions of Australians, and to keep businesses in business and keep Australians in jobs.”
Deloitte Access Economics partner Chris Richardson said the massive health crisis was always bound to pound the budget.
But Mr Richardson said the eye-watering debt and deficits had shielded families and businesses from financial ruin.
“There’s a risk today that we talk about how awful it is rather than remembering this is exactly what you want the budget to do in a crisis,” he told ABC radio.
“If you’re going to protect Australians you have to do it through the budget.”
Shadow treasurer Jim Chalmers has long argued the economy was floundering before the coronavirus pandemic struck.
“The government will try and pull a swifty today,” he told reporters in Canberra.
“They’ll try and pretend all of these hundreds of billions of dollars of debt are purely a consequence of the COVID-19 crisis.”
Thursday’s figures are expected to reveal a huge hit to government revenues.
Company tax receipts alone fell by $13.2 billion in the last financial year and are expected to decline $12.1 billion in 2020/21.
Business investment is forecast to fall by six per cent in 2019/20 and 12.5 per cent this financial year.
Mining investment is one of the few bright sparks.
Unemployment is now tipped to peak at eight per cent this year.
Treasury says the supports put in place have saved 700,000 jobs and lowered the forecast peak unemployment rate by five percentage points.
Since March, there have been record falls in key indicators of business investment, household consumption, the labour market and trade.
The update is expected to show Victoria’s six-week lockdown to contain the second wave of coronavirus infections will gouge $3.3 billion from gross domestic product growth in the September quarter.
Mr Richardson believes it will take three to four years for the economy to bounce back, but the task will be easier than most people think.
“The rule of thumb is the bigger the downturn, the bigger the bounce back,” he said.